We all know the fact that we live in an uncertain world. The only certainty here is the uncertainty we all face (I have mentioned this several times before too). Today I would like to get your attention to the difference between probability and certainty. Because most people confuse probability with certainty. And many bullshitters use this confusion to their advantage.

A probability simply puts a number on how likely one possible future outcome is versus all the other possible future outcomes. 0.1% means a possible outcome has the lowest chance of occurring and 99.9% means that the possible outcome has the most chance.

Thus, there is a big difference between probability and certainty.